Iran reactivates missile bunkers as U.S. and Israel increase military support and warnings. Ceasefire by April 7 is at 1% YES, down from 12% a week ago. The market’s reaction …
Andrew Grant
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Crypto
Peter Schiff questions Bitcoin after Gold, Silver outpace BTC
by Andrew Grantby Andrew GrantPeter Schiff has renewed his criticism of Bitcoin by questioning its long-term value as an investment. Summary Peter Schiff: Bitcoin gained 12% in five years, trailing gold, silver, Nasdaq, and …
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Crypto
Iran’s regime fall odds rise to 13.5% after rejecting Trump’s offer: sources
by Andrew Grantby Andrew GrantThe Iranian regime faces potential escalation after rejecting Trump’s offer, with the odds of the regime falling by June 30 at 13.5% YES, up from 12% yesterday. Traders are reacting …
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Bitcoin drew mixed public views after new comments from market observers focused on long-term performance and price structure. Summary Adam Livingston said Bitcoin trades 0.94 sigma below center as price …
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Crypto
Ceasefire odds drop for US-Iran talks, April 7 now at 1.1% YES
by Andrew Grantby Andrew GrantA tweet from @zerohedge shows the U.S. and Iran remain at odds, dropping the odds of a ceasefire by April 7 to 1.1% YES, down from 2% yesterday and 12% …
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Crypto markets faced a mix of structural, market, and policy-related developments on the day. Summary Michael Ippolito said rising token supply diluted returns as average coin values lagged market cap. …
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Crypto
Trump hints at Iran accepting ceasefire terms without nuclear conditions
by Andrew Grantby Andrew GrantTrump suggests Iran could accept ceasefire terms excluding nuclear conditions. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 are at 1.1% YES, down from 2% yesterday. The April 7 market is …
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Crypto
Why Passive BTC Models Like Bitcoin Everlight Are Gaining Momentum in 2026
by Andrew Grantby Andrew GrantIt appears that the era of loud, energy-draining mining rigs is coming to an end, or at least to a change in 2026. The cryptocurrency market has matured considerably and …
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Satoshi Nakamoto’s listed birthday has again drawn attention across the crypto market on April 5. Summary Satoshi Nakamoto’s profile lists April 5, 1975, making Bitcoin’s founder 51 years old on …
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Crypto
Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 jump to 86% after airman rescue
by Andrew Grantby Andrew GrantThe successful rescue of a second airman from Iran after the downing of a US F-15 fighter jet has pushed the odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 …
